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Daily FX Focus

29 April 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in this product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation and investment experience.

Investment involves risk. Loss may be incurred as well as profits made as a result of buying and selling investment products.

Currency conversion risk - the value of your foreign currency and RMB deposit will be subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuation. If you choose to convert your foreign currency and RMB deposit to other currencies at an exchange rate that is less favourable than the exchange rate in which you made your original conversion to that foreign currency and RMB, you may suffer loss in principal.

RMB is currently not freely convertible and subject to regulatory restrictions (which might be changed from time to time).

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD  7.2494 / 7.3452  ➡

CNH rose against the dollar yesterday amid the US-China trade war, but experts warned that these two currencies would be subject to volatility. Focus this week is on key Chinese purchasing managers index data for April. USDCNH fell 0.05% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.06 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1031 / 1.1692  ⬆

EUR rose against the dollar yesterday while investors look for fresh cues on trade relations between the US and China. The inflation and growth data will significantly influence market expectations for the ECB's monetary policy. EURUSD rose 0.48% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.85 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.2971 / 1.3675  ⬆

GBP rose against the dollar yesterday with the optimism of a potential trade deal between the US and UK. But BoE dovish bets have escalated as inflation pressures seem to be subsiding. GBPUSD rose 0.95% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.42 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.6082 / 0.6609  ⬆

AUD rose against the dollar yesterday amid some support was found on hopes that US-China tensions are easing after Beijing exempted certain U.S. goods from tariffs last week. AUDUSD rose 0.56% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 4.98 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5631 / 0.6177  ⬆

NZD rose against the US dollar yesterday amid growing signs of weakening demand from China. Moreover, the NZD remains under pressure as markets increasingly expect the RBNZ to deliver additional monetary stimulus. NZDUSD rose 0.27% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.63 level. 

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3647 / 1.4142  ⬆

CAD rose against its U.S. dollar yesterday supported by signs of easing tensions between the US and China. China’s decision to exempt certain US tariffs has sparked hopes for improved trade relations. USDCAD fell 0.24% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.60 level. 

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  138.49 / 146.90  ⬆

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday as retail sales year-on-year is expected to grow. Moreover, the Bank of Japan will be holding its May monetary policy meeting on Thursday, more interest rate guidance to be revealed. USDJPY fell 1.16% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.45 level. 

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.7964 / 0.8509  ⬆

CHF rose against the US dollar yesterday as trade-related uncertainties between the US and China and persistent geopolitical risks boost the safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, market awaits ahead of the FOMC meeting on May 7. USDCHF fell 1.01% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.45 level. 

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2878 / 1.3419  ⬆

SGD rose against the US dollar yesterday amid conflicting signals on U.S. trade negotiations with other countries. Meanwhile, investors awaits fresh tariff news. USDSGD fell 0.48% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.92 level. 

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Disclaimer

This document has been prepared for information only. Information contained in this document is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however HSBC does not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. The information contained in this document is intended for Singapore residents only and should not be construed as an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment where such activities would be unlawful under the laws of such jurisdiction, in particular the United States of America and Canada. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment or securities nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The specific investment objectives, personal situation and particular needs of any person have not been taken in consideration. You should therefore not rely on it as investment advice. Opinions and estimates expressed are subject to change without notice and HSBC expressly disclaims any and all liability for representations and warranties, express or implied, contained herein, or for omissions. All charts and graphs are from publicly available sources or proprietary data. The mention of any security should not be construed as representing a recommendation to buy or sell that security, nor does it represent a forecast on future performance of the security.

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