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Daily FX Focus

20 May 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in this product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation and investment experience.

Investment involves risk. Loss may be incurred as well as profits made as a result of buying and selling investment products.

Currency conversion risk - the value of your foreign currency and RMB deposit will be subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuation. If you choose to convert your foreign currency and RMB deposit to other currencies at an exchange rate that is less favourable than the exchange rate in which you made your original conversion to that foreign currency and RMB, you may suffer loss in principal.

RMB is currently not freely convertible and subject to regulatory restrictions (which might be changed from time to time).

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD  7.1654 / 7.2744  ⬆

CNH ended marginally lower against the dollar yesterday despite an easing in the USD. Data showed China's industrial output growth slowed, but still remained resilient, retail sales expansion missed expectations and property sector struggles to recover. USDCNH rose 0.06% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.08 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1071 / 1.1406  ➡

EUR strengthened against the dollar yesterday at one point rising to its highest since May 9. The latest European Commission forecast expects eurozone growth of 0.9% this year and 1.4% next with only a modest negative impact from US tariffs. EURUSD rose 0.69% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.79 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3191 / 1.3468  ⬆

GBP strengthened against the US dollar yesterday after Britain reached a wideranging deal with the EU including a security and defense pact, fewer restrictions on British food exporters and visitors, and a contentious new fishing agreement. GBPUSD rose 0.59% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.44 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.6367 / 0.6527 ⬆

AUD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday following three days of declines. The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its latest interest rate decision on Tuesday, with a consensus expectation for a 25 basis point cut from 4.10% to 3.85%. AUDUSD rose 0.80% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.05 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5842 / 0.6020  ➡

NZD continued to remain stronger against the US dollar yesterday which remains to under pressure after Moody’s downgraded the US sovereign rating. New Zealand inflation expectations rise, but rate cut still expected. NZDUSD rose 0.85% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.63 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3792 / 1.4060  ➡

CAD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased across the board after Moody's downgraded US sovereign ratings. CAD was also boosted by a rise in oil prices while trading remained thin due to a holiday in Canada. USDCAD fell 0.13% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.60 level. 

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  141.77 / 148.29 ➡

JPY strengthened against the US dollar yesterday. The BoJ will continue to raise interest rates if the economy rebounds from an expected hit from higher U.S. tariffs, deputy governor Shinichi Uchida said, while warning of a highly uncertain outlook. USDJPY fell 0.58% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.39 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.8092 / 0.8536  ➡

CHF strengthened against a broadly weaker US dollar yesterday. SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel noted on Monday that uncertainty surrounding inflation has made it more difficult to actively manage foreign currency flows. USDCHF fell 0.38% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 9.36 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.2827 / 1.3098  ⬆

SGD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased across the board after Moody's downgraded US sovereign ratings while US treasury yields firmed. USDSGD fell 0.44% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 6.03 level. 

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The US and China agreed to big reductions in effective tariff rates for the next 90 days…[14 May]
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The BoJ delivered a dovish hold in May. [5 May]

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared for information only. Information contained in this document is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however HSBC does not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. The information contained in this document is intended for Singapore residents only and should not be construed as an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment where such activities would be unlawful under the laws of such jurisdiction, in particular the United States of America and Canada. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment or securities nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The specific investment objectives, personal situation and particular needs of any person have not been taken in consideration. You should therefore not rely on it as investment advice. Opinions and estimates expressed are subject to change without notice and HSBC expressly disclaims any and all liability for representations and warranties, express or implied, contained herein, or for omissions. All charts and graphs are from publicly available sources or proprietary data. The mention of any security should not be construed as representing a recommendation to buy or sell that security, nor does it represent a forecast on future performance of the security.

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