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Daily FX Focus

1 September 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in this product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation and investment experience.

Investment involves risk. Loss may be incurred as well as profits made as a result of buying and selling investment products.

Currency conversion risk - the value of your foreign currency and RMB deposit will be subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuation. If you choose to convert your foreign currency and RMB deposit to other currencies at an exchange rate that is less favourable than the exchange rate in which you made your original conversion to that foreign currency and RMB, you may suffer loss in principal.

RMB is currently not freely convertible and subject to regulatory restrictions (which might be changed from time to time).

CNH

Support / Resistance

vs USD  7.0911 / 7.1742 ⬆

CNH weakened against USD on Friday as China’s August factory PMI improved slightly but well below the initial market forecasts. The ongoing U.S. tariffs and a firm July core PCE contributes to a strong USD. USDCNH rose 0.03% last Friday while CNHHKD ended at 1.09 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1591 / 1.1760 ⬆

EUR slightly advanced against the dollar on Friday despite the release of strong U.S. July Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report, which drove a gain in USD. EURUSD rose 0.03% last Friday while EURHKD ended at 9.11 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3395 / 1.3602 ⬆

GBP fell against the dollar on Friday as the USD gained slightly. The Pound struggled against other currencies due to a quiet economic week in the UK. This week the UK Retail Sales data will be a key focus. GBPUSD fell 0.07% last Friday while GBPHKD ended at 10.52 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.6445 / 0.6601 ⬆

AUD climbed against the dollar on Friday despite strong U.S. inflation data caused USD to strengthen. Aussie also benefitted from ongoing hopes for Fed rate cuts. AUDUSD rose 0.12% last Friday while AUDHKD ended at 5.09 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5788 / 0.5985 ⬇

NZD strengthened against USD on Friday as traders anticipate a mounting expectation of an U.S. interest rate cut in the coming month along with Fed Governor Lisa Cook filing lawsuit against Trump to block his attempts to remove her. NZDUSD rose 0.15% last Friday while NZDHKD ended at 4.59 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3671 / 1.3871  ➡

CAD strengthened against USD on Friday. Though the Canadian economy contracted 1.6% in the second quarter, a positive sentiment on the strengthening of oil prices boosted the Canadian Currency. USDCAD fell 0.06% last Friday while CADHKD ended at 5.67 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  145.88 / 148.46 ➡

JPY weakened against the dollar on Friday, with a stronger greenback due to strong U.S. PCE data. Meanwhile, Japan inflation is easing, making further interest rate hikes by the BoJ less likely. USDJPY rose 0.08% last Friday while JPYHKD ended at 5.30 level.

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.7947 / 0.8092  ⬆

CHF has strengthened against USD on Friday as the Wall Street performance ended lower, rising expectations of a possible Fed interest rate cuts in the coming month drove the safe heaven demand. USDCHF fell 0.10% last Friday while CHFHKD ended at 9.74 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.2778 / 1.2895 ⬇

SGD weakened against USD on Friday with an improvement in US jobless claims data and a slightly better GDP growth. Though traders prepared for a U.S. interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve Bank next month. USDSGD rose 0.12% last Friday while SGDHKD ended at 6.07 level.

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Disclaimer

This document has been prepared for information only. Information contained in this document is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however HSBC does not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. The information contained in this document is intended for Singapore residents only and should not be construed as an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment where such activities would be unlawful under the laws of such jurisdiction, in particular the United States of America and Canada. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment or securities nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The specific investment objectives, personal situation and particular needs of any person have not been taken in consideration. You should therefore not rely on it as investment advice. Opinions and estimates expressed are subject to change without notice and HSBC expressly disclaims any and all liability for representations and warranties, express or implied, contained herein, or for omissions. All charts and graphs are from publicly available sources or proprietary data. The mention of any security should not be construed as representing a recommendation to buy or sell that security, nor does it represent a forecast on future performance of the security.

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